Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s First Post-Christmas Read of the Oscar Race

PLEASE KEEP IN MIND: This projection, constructed by Scott Feinberg, The Hollywood Press reporter’s managing editor of honors insurance coverage, shows Scott’s finest effort to forecast the actions of the Academy of Movie Arts and Sciences, not his individual choices. He comes to these forecasts by bring into play discussions with citizens and various other market experts, evaluation of advertising and honors projects, outcomes of honors events that come before the Oscars, and the background of the Oscars itself. There will certainly be routine updates to show brand-new growths.

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Ideal Image

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Universal) 2. Barbie (Detector Bros.) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Apple) 4. American Fiction (Amazon/MGM) 5. The Holdovers (Emphasis) 6. Poor Points (Searchlight) 7. Genius (Netflix) 8. Previous Lives (A24) 9. Makeup of a Loss (Neon) 10. The Area of Passion (A24)

Significant Threats11. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Sony) 12. The Shade Purple (Detector Bros.) 13. May December (Netflix) 14. Culture of the Snow (Netflix) 15. The Kid and the Heron (GKIDS).

Possibilities16. Saltburn (Amazon/MGM) 17. Air (Amazon/MGM) 18. Ferrari (Neon) 19. All of United States Complete Strangers (Searchlight) 20. Beginning (Neon)

Ideal Supervisor

Frontrunners1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 2. Greta Gerwig (Barbie)– podcast3. Martin Scorsese (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon) 4. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Points) 5. Jonathan Glazer (The Area of Passion)

Significant Threats6. Alexander Payne (The Holdovers) 7. Cable Jefferson (American Fiction) 8. Bradley Cooper (Genius) 9. Celine Tune (Previous Lives) 10. Justine Triet (Makeup of a Loss) 11. J.A. Bayona (Culture of the Snow)

Possibilities12. Todd Haynes (May December)– podcast13. Strike Bazawule (The Shade Purple) 14. Hayao Miyazaki (The Kid and the Heron) 15. Emerald Green Fennell (Saltburn) 16. Michael Mann (Ferrari) 17. Andrew Haigh (All of United States Strangers) 18. Ava DuVernay (Beginning)

Ideal Star

Frontrunners1. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)– podcast2. Bradley Cooper (Genius) 3. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 4. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) 5. Leonardo DiCaprio (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon)

Significant Threats6. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 7. Andrew Scott (All of United States Strangers) 9. Barry Keoghan (Saltburn) 10. Matt Damon (Air)

Possibilities11. Nicolas Cage (Fantasize Situation)– podcast12. Franz Rogowski (Flows) 13. Christian Friedel (The Area of Passion) 14. Adam Motorist (Ferrari)– podcast.

Ideal Starlet

Frontrunners1. Emma Rock (Poor Points)– podcast2. Lily Gladstone (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon) 3. Margot Robbie (Barbie)– podcast4. Carey Mulligan (Genius)– podcast5. Sandra Hüller (Makeup of a Loss)

Significant Threats6. Annette Bening (Nyad) 7. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 8. Natalie Portman (May December)– podcast9. Fantasia Barrino (The Shade Purple) 10. Helen Mirren (Golda)– podcast

Possibilities11. Alma Pöysti (Fallen Leaves) 12. Cailee Spaeny (Priscilla) 13. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Beginning)– podcast14. Jessica Chastain (Memory)– podcast

Ideal Sustaining Star

Frontrunners1. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 2. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) 3. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Points) 4. Willem Dafoe (Poor Points)– podcast5. Charles Melton (May December)

Significant Threats6. Robert De Niro (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon)– podcast7. Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)– podcast8. Jesse Plemons (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon)– podcast9. Dominic Sessa (The Holdovers)

Possibilities10. Jamie Bell (All of United States Strangers) 11. Paul Mescal (All of United States Strangers) 12. Chris Messina (Air) 13. Peter Sarsgaard (Memory) 14. Glenn Howerton (BlackBerry)

Ideal Sustaining Starlet

Frontrunners1. Da’Vine Delight Randolph (The Holdovers) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Shade Purple) 3. Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)– podcast4. Jodie Foster (Nyad)– podcast5. Julianne Moore (May December)– podcast

Significant Threats6. Sandra Hüller (The Area of Passion) 7. Rosamund Pike (Saltburn)– podcast8. America Ferrera (Barbie) 9. Erika Alexander (American Fiction).

Possibilities10. Penélope Cruz (Ferrari)– podcast11. Taraji P. Henson (The Shade Purple)– podcast12. Viola Davis (Air) 13. Claire Foy (All of United States Strangers)– podcast

Ideal Adjusted Movie Script

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan) 2. Poor Points (Tony McNamara) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Eric Roth & & Martin Scorsese) 4. American Fiction (Cable Jefferson) 5. The Area of Passion (Jonathan Glazer)

Significant Threats6. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Dave Callaham, Phil Lord & & Chris Miller) 7. Culture of the Snow (J.A. Bayona, Nicolás Casariego, Jaime Marques & & Bernat Vilaplana) 8. All of United States Complete Strangers (Andrew Haigh) 9. Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (Kelly Fremon Craig)

Possibilities10. The Shade Purple (Marcus Gardley) 11. Priscilla (Sofia Coppola) 12. Beast (Yiju Sakamoto)

Ideal Initial Movie Script

Frontrunners1. Barbie (Noah Baumbach & & Greta Gerwig)– podcast (Gerwig) 2. Previous Lives (Celine Tune) 3. The Holdovers (David Hemingson) 4. Makeup of a Loss (Arthur Harari & & Justine Triet) 5. Genius (Bradley Cooper & & Josh Vocalist)

Significant Threats6. May December (Samy Burch & & Alex Mechanik) 7. Saltburn (Emerald Green Fennell) 8. Air (Alex Convery)

Possibilities9. Planet City (Wes Anderson & & Roman Coppola) 10. Rustin (Dustin Lance Black & & Julian Breece) 11. Beginning (Ava DuVernay) 12. Fantasize Situation (Kristoffer Borgli)

Ideal Global Function

Frontrunners1. The Area of Passion (UK) 2. Culture of the Snow (Spain) 3. The Preference of Points (France) 4. 4 Children (Tunisia) 5. The Instructor’s Lounge (Germany).

Significant Threats6. Perfect Days (Japan) 7. 20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine)

Can Not Yet CallGodland (Iceland) Emblem (Mexico) Io Capitano (Italy) Fallen Leaves (Finland) The Paradise (Denmark) The Mom of All Exists (Morocco) Amerikatsi (Armenia) The Monk and the Weapon (Bhutan)

Ideal Docudrama Function

Frontrunners1. American Harmony (Netflix) 2. Still: A Michael J. Fox Film (Apple)– podcast (Davis Guggenheim) 3. Past Paradise (Roadside) 4. 20 Days in Mariupol (PBS) 5. 4 Children (Kino Lorber)

Significant Threats6. Bobi Red Wine: Individual’s Head of state (Nat Geo) 7. The Timeless Memory (MTV) 8. Marked from the Start (Netflix)– podcast (Roger Ross Williams) 9. To Eliminate a Tiger (still looking for united state circulation)

Can Not Yet Call32 Seems (Abramorama) Apolonia, Apolonia (still looking for united state circulation) Hopeless Hearts, Dark City and the Tale of Twelve O’clock At Night Cowboy (Kino Lorber/Zeitgeist) Mosting Likely To Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Job (HBO) In the Rearview (Movie Activity) A Still Little Voice (Abramorama)

Ideal Computer Animated Function

Frontrunners1. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Sony) 2. The Kid and the Heron (GKIDS) 3. Essential (Pixar)– podcast (Pete Docter) 4. Nimona (Netflix) 5. The Super Mario Bros. Film (Lighting)

Significant Threats6. Teen Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Chaos (Paramount) 7. Hen Run: Dawn of the Nugget (Netflix) 8. Leo (Netflix) 9. Dream (Disney) 10. They Fire the Piano Gamer (Sony Standards)

Can Not Yet CallAmazing Maurice (Viva) Deep Sea (Viva) Ernest & & Celestine: A Journey to Gibbertia (GKIDS) The First Bang Dunk (GKIDS) Movement (Lighting) Robotic Desires (Neon) Stopmotion (IFC) Suzume (Toho) Trolls Affiliate (DreamWorks).

Ideal Cinematography

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Hoyte van Hoytema) 2. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Rodrigo Prieto) 3. Poor Points (Robbie Ryan) 4. Barbie (Rodrigo Prieto) 5. Genius (Matthew Libatique)

Significant Threats6. Saltburn (Linus Sandgren) 7. The Area of Passion (Łukasz Żal) 8. The Shade Purple (Dan Laustsen) 9. Culture of the Snow (Pedro Luque) 10. Ferrari (Erik Messerschmidt) 11. Napoleon (Dariusz Wolski) 12. Previous Lives (Shabier Kirchner)

Possibilities13. May December (Christopher Blauvelt) 14. The Preference of Points (Jonathan Ricquebourg) 15. The Holdovers (Eigil Byrid) 16. All of United States Complete Strangers (Jamie D. Ramsay) 17. Air (Robert Richardson) 18. The Awesome (Erik Messerschmidt) 19. El Conde (Ed Lachman)

Ideal Outfit Style

Frontrunners1. Barbie (Jacqueline Durran) 2. Poor Points (Holly Waddington) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Jacqueline West) 4. The Shade Purple (Francine Jamison-Tanchuck) 5. Wonka (Lindy Hemming)

Significant Threats6. Napoleon (David Crossman & & Janty Yates) 7. Priscilla (Stacey Battat) 8. Genius (Mark Bridges) 9. Oppenheimer (Ellen Mirojnick) 10. The Little Mermaid (Colleen Atwood) 11. Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (Ann Roth)

Possibilities12. Ferrari (Massimo Cantini Parrini) 13. Planet City (Milena Canonero) 14. Saltburn (Sophie Canale) 15. Rustin (Toni-Leslie James) 16. Cassandro (María Estela Fernández) 17. The Appetite Gamings: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes (Trish Summerville)

Ideal Fim Modifying

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Jennifer Lame) 2. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Thelma Schoonmaker) 3. Poor Points (Yorgos Mavropsaridis) 4. Barbie (Nick Houy) 5. Genius (Michelle Tesoro).

Significant Threats6. Air (William Goldenberg) 7. Ferrari (Pietro Scalia) 8. American Fiction (Hilda Rasula) 9. Previous Lives (Keith Fraase) 10. The Holdovers (Kevin Camping Tent) 11. The Area of Passion (Paul Watts)

Possibilities12. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Michael Andrews) 13. Goal: Difficult: Dead Numeration Component One (Eddie Hamilton) 14. The Shade Purple (Jon Survey) 15. May December (Affonso Gonçalves) 16. Beginning (Spencer Averick) 17. The Awesome (Kirk Baxter)

Ideal Make-up & & Hairstyling

Frontrunners1. Genius (Kay Georgiou, Sian Grigg, Kazu Hiro & & Lori McCoy-Bell) 2. Poor Points (Mark Couler, Nadia Stacey & & Josh Weston) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Kay Georgiou & & Thomas Nellen) 4. Golda (Karen Hartley Thomas) 5. Culture of the Snow (Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí & & Montse Ribé)

Significant Threats6. Oppenheimer (Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh & & Ahou Mofid) 7. Ferrari (Elisabetta Arlotti, Nicolas Iles, Feredrico Martellacci & & Leonardo Signoretti) 8. Napoleon (Jana Carboni & & Francesco Pegoretti) 9. Sweetheart Hesitates (Félix Larivière & & Colin Penman) 10. The Last Trip of the Demeter (TBD)

Ideal Initial Rating

Frontrunners1. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Robbie Robertson) 2. Oppenheimer (Ludwig Göransson) 3. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Daniel Pemberton) 4. Poor Points (Jerskin Fendrix) 5. Barbie (Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt)

Significant Threats6. The Area of Passion (Mica Levi) 7. The Kid and the Heron (Joe Hisaishi) 8. Essential (Thomas Newman) 9. American Fiction (Laura Karpman) 10. Culture of the Snow (Michael Giacchino).

Possibilities11. The Shade Purple (Kris Bowers) 12. Saltburn (Anthony Willis) 13. The Holdovers (Mark Orton) 14. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Fate (John Williams) 15. American Harmony (Jon Batiste)

Ideal Initial Tune

Frontrunners1. “What Was I Made For?” (Barbie), Billie Eilish & & Finneas– podcast2. “I’m Just Ken” (Barbie), Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt– podcast (Ronson) 3. “It Never Went Away” (American Harmony), Jon Batiste & & Dan Wilson4. “Road to Freedom” (Rustin), Lenny Kravitz– podcast5. “The Fire Inside” (Flamin’ Warm), Diane Warren– podcast

Significant Threats6. “Dance the Night” (Barbie), Caroline Ailin, Dua Lipa, Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt– podcasts (Lipa & & Ronson) 7. “High Life” (Vegetation and Child), John Carney & & Gary Clark8. “Meet In The Middle” from Vegetation and Child, John Carney, Gary Clark & & Eve Hewson9. “Keep It Movin’” (The Shade Purple), Denisia Andrews, Halle Bailey, Brittany Coney & & Morten Ristorp10. “Can’t Catch Me Now” (The Appetite Gamings: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes), Dan Nigro & & Olivia Rodrigo– podcast (Rodrigo)

Possibilities11. “Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)” from Killers of the Blossom Moon, Scott George12. “Quiet Eyes” (Previous Lives), Zach Dawes & & Sharon Von Etten13. “Am I Dreaming” (Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse), Michael Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Rakim Mayers, Landon Wayne & & Leland Wayne14. “Superpower (I)” (The Shade Purple), Terius Gesteelde-Diamant15. “Dear Alien (Who Art In Heaven)” from Planet City, Wes Anderson & & Jarvis Cocker.

Ideal Manufacturing Style

Frontrunners1. Barbie (Sarah Greenwood & & Katie Spencer) 2. Oppenheimer (Ruth De Jong & & Claire Kaufman) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Jack Fish & & Adam Willis) 4. Poor Points (Shona Health, James Rate & & Szusza Mihalek) 5. Genius (Rena DeAngelo & & Kevin Thompson)

Significant Threats6. Saltburn (Suzie Davis & & Charlotte Diricks) 7. Planet City (Kris Moran & & Adam Stockhausen) 8. Wonka (Nathan Crowley & & Lee Sandales) 9. The Shade Purple (Paul D. Austerberry & & Larry Dias) 10. Napoleon (Elli Griff & & Arthur Max) 11. Ferrari (Maria Djurkovic & & Sophie Phillips) 12. Culture of the Snow (Alain Bainée & & Angela Nahum)

Possibilites13. The Area of Passion (Joanna Kus, Chris Oddy & & Katarzyna Sikora) 14. The Preference of Points (Toma Baqueni) 15. Makeup of a Loss (Cécile Deleu & & Emmanuelle Duplay) 16. Priscilla (Patricia Cuccia & & Tamara Deverell) 17. Air (François Audouy & & Jan Pascale) 18. May December (Sam Lisenco & & Jess Royal) 19. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Patrick O’Keefe)

Ideal Noise

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Willie Burton, Richard King, Kevin O’Connell & & Gary A. Rizzo) 2. Genius (Richard King, Steve Morrow, Tom Ozanich, Jason Ruder & & Dean Zupancic) 3. Ferrari (Tony Lamberti, Lee Orloff, Andy Nelson & & Bernard Weiser) 4. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (John Pritchett, Philip Stockton & & Mark Ulano) 5. Barbie (Dan Kenyon, Ai-Ling Lee, Kevin O’Connell & & Nina Rice)

Significant Threats6. The Area of Passion (Johnnie Burn) 7. Napoleon (Stephane Bucher, James Harrison, Paul Massey, William Miller & & Oliver Tarney) 8. The Awesome (Ren Klyce, Drew Kunin, Jeremy Molod & & Stephen Urata) 9. The Maker (Erik Aadahl, Tom Ozanich, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt & & Dean Zupancic) 10. Goal: Difficult– Dead Numeration Component One (Chris Burdon, James H. Mather & & Chris Munro).

Ideal Aesthetic Impacts

Frontrunners1. Poor Things2. Culture of the Snow3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 34. The Creator5. Goal: Difficult– Dead Numeration Component One

Significant Threats6. Napoleon7. Godzilla: Minus One8. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny10. Rebel Moon: Component One– A Kid of Fire

Ideal Computer Animated Brief

Can Not Yet Call27 (ARTE Mediathek) BoomEeva (Miyu) Humo (Smoke) I’m HipA Kind of TestamentKoerkorter (Pet Dog House) Letter to a Pig (Miyu) Ninety-Five SensesOnce Upon a Workshop (Disney) Our UniformPachydermePete (The Requirement Network) Battle Mores Than! Influenced by the Songs of John & & YokoWild Summon

Ideal Docudrama Brief

Frontrunners1. The ABCs of Reserve Banning (MTV)– podcast (Sheila Nevins) 2. Camp Guts (Netflix) 3. Determining Ballot (The New Yorker) 4. The Barber of Little Rock (The New Yorker) 5. Last Tune from Kabul (MTV)

Significant ThreatsThe Last Service Center (LA Times/Searchlight)

Can Not Yet CallBearBetween Planet & & Skies (POV) Black Women Play: The Tale of Hand GamesHow We Obtain FreeIf Desires Were Lightning: Rural Health Care CrisisIsland in BetweenNǎi Nai & & Wài PóOasis (New York City Times Op-Docs) Wings of Dirt (still looking for united state circulation)

Ideal Real-time Activity Short

Frontrunners1. The Fantastic Tale of Henry Sugar (Netflix) 2. Weird Means of Life (Sony Standards)– podcast (Pedro Almodóvar) 3. The After (Netflix)– podcast (David Oyelowo)

Can Not Yet CallThe Anne Frank Present Store (Reboot) An Avocado PitBienvenidos a Los AngelesDead CatGood BoyInvincibleInvisible BorderKnight of Lot of money (still looking for united state circulation) The One Note ManRed, White and BlueThe Guard (Disney) Yellow.