Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s First Oscar Projections Post Golden Globes and SAG and DGA Awards Nominations

PLEASE KEEP IN MIND: This projection, constructed by Scott Feinberg, The Hollywood Press reporter’s managing editor of awards protection, mirrors Scott’s ideal effort to forecast the actions of the Academy of Movie Arts and Sciences, not his individual choices. He gets to these projections by bring into play discussions with citizens and various other market experts, evaluation of advertising and awards projects, outcomes of awards events that come before the Oscars, and the background of the Oscars itself. There will certainly be normal updates to mirror brand-new growths.

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Finest Photo

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Universal) 2. Barbie (Detector Bros.) 3. Poor Points (Searchlight) 4. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Apple) 5. American Fiction (Amazon/MGM) 6. The Holdovers (Emphasis) 7. Previous Lives (A24) 8. Composition of an Autumn (Neon) 9. Genius (Netflix) 10. The Area of Rate Of Interest (A24)

Significant Threats11. Culture of the Snow (Netflix) 12. The Shade Purple (Detector Bros.) 13. May December (Netflix) 14. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Sony) 15. Rustin (Netflix).

Possibilities16. Saltburn (Amazon/MGM) 17. Air (Amazon/MGM) 18. Beginning (Neon) 19. Ferrari (Neon)

Finest Supervisor

Frontrunners1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 2. Greta Gerwig (Barbie)– podcast3. Martin Scorsese (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon) 4. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Points) 5. Jonathan Glazer (The Area of Rate Of Interest)

Significant Threats6. Alexander Payne (The Holdovers) 7. Celine Tune (Previous Lives) 8. Bradley Cooper (Genius) 9. Cable Jefferson (American Fiction) 10. Justine Triet (Composition of an Autumn) 11. Hayao Miyazaki (The Kid and the Heron)

Possibilities12. Todd Haynes (May December)– podcast13. Emerald Green Fennell (Saltburn)– podcast14. J.A. Bayona (Culture of the Snow) 15. Strike Bazawule (The Shade Purple) 16. Ava DuVernay (Beginning)– podcast17. Michael Mann (Ferrari)

Finest Star

Frontrunners1. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)– podcast2. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) 3. Bradley Cooper (Genius) 4. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 5. Colman Domingo (Rustin)

Significant Threats6. Leonardo DiCaprio (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon) 7. Andrew Scott (Everybody Strangers) 8. Barry Keoghan (Saltburn)

Possibilities9. Matt Damon (Air) 10. Nicolas Cage (Fantasize Situation)– podcast11. Franz Rogowski (Flows).

Finest Starlet

Frontrunners1. Lily Gladstone (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon) 2. Emma Rock (Poor Points)– podcast3. Margot Robbie (Barbie)– podcast4. Carey Mulligan (Genius)– podcast5. Annette Bening (Nyad)

Significant Threats6. Sandra Hüller (Composition of an Autumn) 7. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 8. Natalie Portman (May December)– podcast9. Helen Mirren (Golda)– podcast

Possibilities10. Alma Pöysti (Fallen Leaves) 11. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Beginning)– podcast12. Fantasia Barrino (The Shade Purple) 13. Cailee Spaeny (Priscilla)

Finest Sustaining Star

Frontrunners1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 3. Robert De Niro (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon)– podcast4. Willem Dafoe (Poor Points)– podcast5. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Points)

Significant Threats6. Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)– podcast7. Charles Melton (May December) 8. Dominic Sessa (The Holdovers)

Possibilities9. Glenn Howerton (BlackBerry) 10. Jesse Plemons (Awesomes of the Blossom Moon)– podcast11. Jamie Bell (Everybody Strangers)

Finest Sustaining Starlet

Frontrunners1. Da’Vine Delight Randolph (The Holdovers) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Shade Purple)– podcast3. Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)– podcast4. Jodie Foster (Nyad)– podcast5. Julianne Moore (May December)– podcast

Significant Threats6. Penélope Cruz (Ferrari)– podcast7. Rosamund Pike (Saltburn)– podcast8. America Ferrera (Barbie) 9. Sandra Hüller (The Area of Rate Of Interest).

Possibilities10. Erika Alexander (American Fiction) 11. Taraji P. Henson (The Shade Purple)– podcast12. Claire Foy (Everybody Strangers)– podcast13. Viola Davis (Air)

Finest Adjusted Movie Script

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan) 2. Barbie (Noah Baumbach & & Greta Gerwig)– podcast (Gerwig) 3. Poor Points (Tony McNamara) 4. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Eric Roth & & Martin Scorsese) 5. American Fiction (Cable Jefferson)

Significant Threats6. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Jonathan Glazer) 7. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Dave Callaham, Phil Lord & & Chris Miller) 8. Culture of the Snow (J.A. Bayona, Nicolás Casariego, Jaime Marques & & Bernat Vilaplana)

Possibilities9. Everybody Strangers (Andrew Haigh) 10. Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (Kelly Fremon Craig) 11. Beginning (Ava DuVernay)

Finest Initial Movie Script

Frontrunners1. Previous Lives (Celine Tune) 2. The Holdovers (David Hemingson) 3. Composition of an Autumn (Arthur Harari & & Justine Triet) 4. Genius (Bradley Cooper & & Josh Vocalist) 5. May December (Samy Burch & & Alex Mechanik)

Significant Threats6. Saltburn (Emerald Green Fennell) 7. Air (Alex Convery)

Possibilities8. Rustin (Dustin Lance Black & & Julian Breece) 9. Planet City (Wes Anderson & & Roman Coppola)

Finest Worldwide Function

Frontrunners1. The Area of Rate Of Interest (UK) 2. Culture of the Snow (Spain) 3. The Preference of Points (France) 4. 4 Little Girls (Tunisia) 5. The Educator’s Lounge (Germany)

Significant Threats6. Perfect Days (Japan) 7. 20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine).

Can Not Yet CallGodland (Iceland) Symbol (Mexico) Io Capitano (Italy) Fallen Leaves (Finland) The Paradise (Denmark) The Mom of All Lies (Morocco) Amerikatsi (Armenia) The Monk and the Weapon (Bhutan)

Finest Docudrama Function

Frontrunners1. American Harmony (Netflix) 2. Still: A Michael J. Fox Film (Apple)– podcast (Davis Guggenheim) 3. Past Paradise (Roadside) 4. Marked from the start (Netflix)– podcast (Roger Ross Williams) 5. 20 Days in Mariupol (PBS)

Significant Threats6. The Infinite Memory (MTV) 7. Bobi Red Wine: Individual’s Head of state (Nat Geo) 8. 4 Little Girls (Kino Lorber) 9. To Eliminate a Tiger (still looking for united state circulation) 10. Determined Hearts, Dark City and the Tale of Twelve O’clock At Night Cowboy (Kino Lorber/Zeitgeist)

Can Not Yet Call32 Appears (Abramorama) Apolonia, Apolonia (still looking for united state circulation) Mosting likely to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Job (HBO) In the Rearview (Movie Motion) A Still Tiny Voice (Abramorama)

Finest Computer Animated Function

Frontrunners1. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Sony) 2. The Kid and the Heron (GKIDS) 3. Essential (Pixar)– podcast (Pete Docter) 4. Nimona (Netflix) 5. The Super Mario Bros. Film (Lighting)

Significant Threats6. Adolescent Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Chaos (Paramount) 7. Poultry Run: Dawn of the Nugget (Netflix) 8. Leo (Netflix) 9. Desire (Disney) 10. They Fire the Piano Gamer (Sony Standards)

Can Not Yet CallAmazing Maurice (Viva) Deep Sea (Viva) Ernest & & Celestine: A Journey to Gibbertia (GKIDS) The First Bang Dunk (GKIDS) Movement (Lighting) Robotic Desires (Neon) Stopmotion (IFC) Suzume (Toho) Trolls Group (DreamWorks).

Finest Cinematography

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Hoyte van Hoytema) 2. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Rodrigo Prieto) 3. Poor Points (Robbie Ryan) 4. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Lukasz Zal) 5. Genius (Matthew Libatique)

Significant Threats6. Barbie (Rodrigo Prieto) 7. Saltburn (Linus Sandgren) 8. The Shade Purple (Dan Laustsen) 9. Culture of the Snow (Pedro Luque) 10. Ferrari (Erik Messerschmidt) 11. Napoleon (Dariusz Wolski)

Possibilities12. Previous Lives (Shabier Kirchner) 13. May December (Christopher Blauvelt) 14. The Preference of Points (Jonathan Ricquebourg) 15. The Holdovers (Eigil Byrid) 16. Air (Robert Richardson) 17. The Awesome (Erik Messerschmidt)

Finest Outfit Style

Frontrunners1. Barbie (Jacqueline Durran) 2. Poor Points (Holly Waddington) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Jacqueline West) 4. The Shade Purple (Francine Jamison-Tanchuck) 5. Wonka (Lindy Hemming)

Significant Threats6. Napoleon (David Crossman & & Janty Yates) 7. Genius (Mark Bridges) 8. The Little Mermaid (Colleen Atwood) 9. Oppenheimer (Ellen Mirojnick) 10. Priscilla (Stacey Battat)

Possibilities11. Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (Ann Roth) 12. Ferrari (Massimo Cantini Parrini) 13. Planet City (Milena Canonero) 14. Saltburn (Sophie Canale) 17. The Cravings Gamings: The Ballad of Songbirds & & Snakes (Trish Summerville)

Best Movie Modifying

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Jennifer Lame) 2. Poor Points (Yorgos Mavropsaridis) 3. Barbie (Nick Houy) 4. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Thelma Schoonmaker) 5. The Holdovers (Kevin Outdoor Tents).

Significant Threats6. Genius (Michelle Tesoro) 7. Ferrari (Pietro Scalia) 8. The Awesome (Kirk Baxter) 9. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Michael Andrews) 10. Previous Lives (Keith Fraase)

Possibilities11. Air (William Goldenberg) 12. American Fiction (Hilda Rasula) 13. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Paul Watts) 14. Goal: Difficult: Dead Projection Component One (Eddie Hamilton) 15. The Shade Purple (Jon Survey)

Finest Make-up & & Hairstyling

Frontrunners1. Genius (Kay Georgiou, Sian Grigg, Kazu Hiro & & Lori McCoy-Bell) 2. Poor Points (Mark Couler, Nadia Stacey & & Josh Weston) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Kay Georgiou & & Thomas Nellen) 4. Golda (Suzi Battersby, Ashra Kelly-Blue & & Karen Hartley Thomas) 5. Culture of the Snow (Ana López-Puigcerver, Belén López-Puigcerver, David Martí & & Montse Ribé)

Significant Threats6. Oppenheimer (Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Jaime Leigh McIntosh & & Ahou Mofid) 7. Ferrari (Elisabetta Arlotti, Nicolas Iles, Feredrico Martellacci & & Leonardo Signoretti) 8. Napoleon (Jana Carboni & & Francesco Pegoretti) 9. Sweetheart Hesitates (Félix Larivière & & Colin Penman) 10. The Last Trip of the Demeter (TBD)

Finest Initial Rating

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Ludwig Göransson) 2. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Robbie Robertson) 3. Poor Points (Jerskin Fendrix) 4. Barbie (Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt) 5. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Mica Levi)

Significant Threats6. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Daniel Pemberton) 7. The Holdovers (Mark Orton) 8. Essential (Thomas Newman) 9. American Fiction (Laura Karpman) 10. Culture of the Snow (Michael Giacchino).

Possibilities11. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Fate (John Williams) 12. American Harmony (Jon Batiste) 13. The Kid and the Heron (Joe Hisaishi) 14. The Shade Purple (Kris Bowers) 15. Saltburn (Anthony Willis)

Finest Initial Tune

Frontrunners1. “What Was I Made For?” (Barbie), Billie Eilish & & Finneas– podcasts (1 and 2) 2. “I’m Just Ken” (Barbie), Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt– podcast (Ronson) 3. “Road to Freedom” (Rustin), Lenny Kravitz– podcast4. “It Never Went Away” (American Harmony), Jon Batiste & & Dan Wilson5. “The Fire Inside” (Flamin’ Warm), Diane Warren– podcast

Significant Threats6. “Dance the Night” (Barbie), Caroline Ailin, Dua Lipa, Mark Ronson & & Andrew Wyatt– podcasts (Lipa & & Ronson) 7. “High Life” (Plants and Boy), John Carney & & Gary Clark8. “Meet in the Middle” from Plants and Boy, John Carney, Gary Clark & & Eve Hewson9. “Keep It Movin’” (The Shade Purple), Denisia Andrews, Halle Bailey, Brittany Coney & & Morten Ristorp10. “Can’t Catch Me Now” (The Cravings Gamings: The Ballad of Songbirds and Serpents), Dan Nigro & & Olivia Rodrigo– podcast (Rodrigo)

Possibilities11. “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)” from Killers of the Blossom Moon, Scott George12. “Quiet Eyes” (Previous Lives), Zach Dawes & & Sharon Von Etten13. “Am I Dreaming” (Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse), Michael Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Rakim Mayers, Landon Wayne & & Leland Wayne14. “Superpower (I)” (The Shade Purple), Terius Gesteelde-Diamant15. “Dear Alien (Who Art in Heaven)” from Planet City, Wes Anderson & & Jarvis Cocker.

Finest Manufacturing Style

Frontrunners1. Barbie (Sarah Greenwood & & Katie Spencer) 2. Oppenheimer (Ruth De Jong & & Claire Kaufman) 3. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (Jack Fish & & Adam Willis) 4. Poor Points (Shona Health, James Cost & & Szusza Mihalek) 5. Genius (Rena DeAngelo & & Kevin Thompson)

Significant Threats6. Saltburn (Suzie Davis & & Charlotte Diricks) 7. Planet City (Kris Moran & & Adam Stockhausen) 8. Wonka (Nathan Crowley & & Lee Sandales) 9. The Shade Purple (Paul D. Austerberry & & Larry Dias) 10. Napoleon (Elli Griff & & Arthur Max) 11. Culture of the Snow (Alain Bainée & & Angela Nahum)

Possibilites12. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Joanna Kus, Chris Oddy & & Katarzyna Sikora) 13. Ferrari (Maria Djurkovic & & Sophie Phillips) 14. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse (Patrick O’Keefe) 15. Priscilla (Patricia Cuccia & & Tamara Deverell) 16. Air (François Audouy & & Jan Pascale) 17. May December (Sam Lisenco & & Jess Royal)

Finest Audio

Frontrunners1. Oppenheimer (Willie Burton, Richard King, Kevin O’Connell & & Gary A. Rizzo) 2. Genius (Richard King, Steve Morrow, Tom Ozanich, Jason Ruder & & Dean Zupancic) 3. Ferrari (Tony Lamberti, Lee Orloff, Andy Nelson & & Bernard Weiser) 4. Awesomes of the Blossom Moon (John Pritchett, Philip Stockton & & Mark Ulano) 5. Barbie (Dan Kenyon, Ai-Ling Lee, Kevin O’Connell & & Nina Rice)

Significant Threats6. The Area of Rate Of Interest (Johnnie Burn) 7. Napoleon (Stephane Bucher, James Harrison, Paul Massey, William Miller & & Oliver Tarney) 8. The Awesome (Ren Klyce, Drew Kunin, Jeremy Molod & & Stephen Urata) 9. The Designer (Erik Aadahl, Tom Ozanich, Ethan Van Der Ryn, Ian Voigt & & Dean Zupancic) 10. Goal: Difficult– Dead Projection, Component One (Chris Burdon, James H. Mather & & Chris Munro).

Finest Aesthetic Results

Frontrunners1. Poor Things2. Culture of the Snow3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 34. The Creator5. Goal: Difficult– Dead Projection, Component One

Significant Threats6. Napoleon7. Godzilla: Minus One8. Spider-Man: Throughout the Spider-Verse9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny10. Rebel Moon: Component One– A Kid of Fire

Finest Computer Animated Brief

Can Not Yet Call27 (ARTE Mediathek) BoomEeva (Miyu) Humo (Smoke) I’m HipA Sort Of TestamentKoerkorter (Pet Apartment Or Condo) Letter to a Pig (Miyu) Ninety-Five SensesOnce Upon a Workshop (Disney) Our UniformPachydermePete (The Standard Network) Battle Mores Than! Influenced by the Songs of John & & YokoWild Summon

Finest Docudrama Brief

Frontrunners1. The ABCs of Publication Banning (MTV)– podcast (Sheila Nevins) 2. Camp Nerve (Netflix) 3. Choosing Ballot (The New Yorker) 4. The Barber of Little Rock (The New Yorker) 5. Last Tune from Kabul (MTV)

Significant ThreatsThe Last Service Center (L.A. Times/Searchlight) Nǎi Nai & & Wài Pó (Hulu)

Can Not Yet CallBearBetween Planet & & Skies (POV) Black Women Play: The Tale of Hand GamesHow We Obtain FreeIf Desires Were Lightning: Rural Medical Care CrisisIsland in BetweenOasis (New York City Times Op-Docs) Wings of Dirt (still looking for united state circulation)

Finest Live-Action Brief

Frontrunners1. The Remarkable Tale of Henry Sugar (Netflix) 2. Weird Way Of Living (Sony Standards)– podcast (Pedro Almodóvar) 3. The After (Netflix)– podcast (David Oyelowo)

Can Not Yet CallThe Anne Frank Present Store (Reboot) An Avocado PitBienvenidos a Los AngelesDead CatGood BoyInvincibleInvisible BorderKnight of Lot Of Money (The New Yorker) The One Note ManRed, White and BlueThe Guard (Disney) Yellow.