Pricey President Biden:
In October 1973, the armies of Egypt and Syria launched a shock pincer assault on Israel. Because the Israeli Military fell low on ammunition, your predecessor Richard Nixon ordered an enormous airlift of weaponry that helped to save lots of the one Jewish democracy from being destroyed from the surface.
Fifty years later, Mr. President, this Jewish democracy urgently wants one other airlift to put it aside from being destroyed from the within. It wants an pressing resupply of laborious truths — one thing solely you’ll be able to present.
And what are these truths? That if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues making an attempt to ram by means of a invoice that will strip Israel’s Supreme Court docket of its most essential authorized authority — to test excessive appointments or choices of Israel’s political echelon — and accomplish that with no semblance of nationwide consensus, it’ll fracture Israel’s navy and never solely undermine shared values between the U.S. and Israel BUT ALSO VITAL U.S. INTERESTS.
Mr. President, after we met final Tuesday and also you gave me your very measured assertion urging Netanyahu to not “rush” this laws by means of with out “the broadest attainable consensus” — which he so clearly doesn’t have — it got here as an electrical shock to the Israeli political system, dominating the information for a number of days.
It was such a shock as a result of a overwhelming majority of Israelis imagine — rightly — that you’re a true good friend and that your recommendation got here from the center.
However I’m afraid this Israeli authorities wants one other dose of your robust love — not simply out of your coronary heart however from the center of U.S. strategic pursuits as nicely.
As a result of Netanyahu is plowing forward regardless of your urgings. Regardless of a warning from greater than 1,100 Israeli Air Pressure pilots and technicians that they won’t fly for a dictatorship. Regardless of an open letter signed by dozens of former prime safety officers, together with former heads of the Israel Protection Forces, Mossad, Shin Guess and police beseeching the prime minister to cease. Regardless of Israel’s prime enterprise discussion board warning of “irreversible and harmful penalties on the Israeli financial system.” Regardless of fears that this might ultimately fracture unit cohesion within the base of the Israeli Military. And regardless of a outstanding, largely spontaneous five-day march by on a regular basis Israelis from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, the likes of which had by no means occurred earlier than.
If I’ll recommend, Mr. President, what is required is that your secretary of state, your secretary of protection, your Treasury secretary, your commerce secretary, your secretary of agriculture, your U.S. commerce consultant, your legal professional common, your C.I.A. director and your Joint Chiefs name their Israeli counterparts as we speak and allow them to know that if Netanyahu strikes forward — with no consensus, fracturing Israeli society and its navy — it is not going to solely undermine the shared values between our two international locations but additionally do severe harm to our personal strategic pursuits within the Center East.
And U.S. pursuits are very a lot our enterprise. As a result of because the Knesset strikes to vote on this problem on Monday, one thing essential might break in Israel and in our relationship with Israel. And as soon as it’s gone, it’ll by no means come again.
I hope that it’s not already too late.
What American pursuits are at stake? It must be apparent to each U.S. policymaker by now that Netanyahu’s cupboard, one that you just described as probably the most “excessive” you’ve ever encountered, has its thoughts set on two dismantling initiatives.
One is to dismantle the ability of the Supreme Court docket to rein on this authorities’s excessive agenda, and the opposite is to dismantle the Oslo peace course of and its street map for a two-state answer, as a way to pave the way in which for a unilateral Israeli annexation of the West Financial institution. Oslo has been a cornerstone of America’s Center East coverage since 1993.
These twin dismantlings are interconnected: the Jewish supremacists in Netanyahu’s cupboard have to get the Supreme Court docket out of the way in which as a way to perform their plans to annex the West Financial institution. Such a transfer might simply destabilize Jordan, as it will doubtless push increasingly Palestinians there and alter its fragile demographic steadiness. Jordan is an important buffer state within the area for the U.S., which operates from Jordanian territory, in collaboration with Jordan, to take care of U.S. safety threats from Syria and western Iraq, the place ISIS forces proceed to function.
On the identical time, Mr. President, you might be wrestling with one of many largest choices ever involving U.S. technique within the Center East: whether or not to satisfy Saudi Arabia’s requests for a proper safety assure from America, for a U.S.-overseen civilian nuclear program and for entry to among the most superior U.S. arms. In return for this, Saudi Arabia would normalize its relations with Israel (offered that Israel makes some concessions to the Palestinians) and restrict its collaboration with China.
It could be each tough and unlucky to get such a deal by means of Congress with out robust help from Democrats within the Senate. As you understand, Mr. President, Netanyahu and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman are two of the least well-liked world leaders amongst progressive Democrats, particularly contemplating the way in which Netanyahu, over the previous decade, moved to make help for Israel a Republican trigger and spurned the embrace of secular American Jews for that of Christian evangelicals as a substitute.
Briefly, successful sufficient help amongst Democrats to forge this complicated take care of Saudi Arabia will probably be an enormous raise on a superb day; will probably be even tougher if Netanyahu neuters the Israeli Supreme Court docket — undermining our shared values of an unbiased judiciary — and strikes forward with plans to annex the West Financial institution. And with out you as president, such a deal can be nearly not possible, as a result of only a few Democrats within the Senate would help it if it was pushed by a Republican president. Briefly, the window for this deal is small.
Furthermore, in 2016 you and President Barack Obama signed a 10-year, $38 billion settlement to reinforce Israel’s navy. Are we supposed to only sit again and watch silently whereas that navy — which we now have made such an enormous funding in to amplify our energy projection within the Center East — fractures over efforts to limit the ability of the Israeli Supreme Court docket? That will be a catastrophe for us and for Israel, which has actual enemies like Iran and Hezbollah on its doorstep.
Additionally, we will already see that the intense habits of this Israeli authorities in increasing settlements within the West Financial institution is starting to wreck the historic relations cast by President Donald Trump between Israel and the U.A.E., Bahrain and Morocco with the Abraham Accords. All three Arab international locations have been compelled to chill their diplomatic ties with Israel.
Mr. President, there isn’t any establishment in any democracy that may’t be improved, and that applies to Israel’s Supreme Court docket. There have been complaints from the middle proper that the Israeli excessive courtroom manifested an occasional judicial overreach previously. However between 2015 and 2019, Likud governments efficiently shepherded the appointments of 4 conservative justices to the Supreme Court docket — beneath the present system that Netanyahu needs to scrap. It reveals you ways bogus this entire “judicial reform” actually is.
There’s a large distinction between making the Israeli Supreme Court docket extra politically and ethnically inclusive and making this Israeli authorities immune from its scrutiny — particularly in a system by which the excessive courtroom in Israel is the one actual test on government overreach.
And the latter is what Netanyahu’s coalition is as much as, and it’s the latter that undermines not simply our shared values with Israel but additionally our personal strategic pursuits, which we’re entitled — certainly we’re required — to defend.